SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 81%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 7.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 1-2 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | West Ham United Women |
81% ( 0.1) | 11.71% ( -0.04) | 7.29% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.03) | 24.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.99% ( -0.04) | 44.02% ( 0.05) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.46% ( 0.02) | 4.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.42% ( 0.03) | 18.58% ( -0.02) |
| West Ham United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( -0.16) | 41.73% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( -0.14) | 78.2% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | West Ham United Women |
| 3-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 6.31% 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 5.43% Total : 81% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.9% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 11.71% | 1-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 7.29% |
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