Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 87.84%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.64%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
87.84% ( -0.05) | 8.14% ( 0.04) | 4.02% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.54% ( -0.24) | 20.46% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
61.26% ( -0.34) | 38.74% ( 0.35) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.05% ( -0.04) | 2.95% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.67% ( -0.15) | 13.33% ( 0.15) |
Everton Ladies Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.26% ( -0.22) | 48.74% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.23% ( -0.16) | 83.77% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
3-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 6-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.74% Total : 87.83% | 1-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 8.14% | 1-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 4.02% |
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