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Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
3 - 1
Man Utd Women

Park (37', 45'), Shaw (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Casparij (73' og.)
Blundell (21'), Ferreira (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton Women 1-4 Man City Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-1 Manchester United Women

Man City have already beaten Man United on two occasions this season, and after winning each of their last five home matches, we think that the hosts will do enough to get the better of their city rivals on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawManchester United Women
52.35% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 22.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 62.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.96% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (0.011999999999986 0.01)14.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.88% (0.025000000000006 0.03)42.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)27.11% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)62.5% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 52.35%
    Manchester United Women 25.62%
    Draw 22.04%
Manchester City WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 52.35%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-4 Man City Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Everton Ladies
Saturday, March 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Man City Women
Friday, February 16 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-2 Man City Women
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 5-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 3 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 3-1 Man Utd Women
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Man Utd Women
Sunday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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