With 11 League One losses on the road in total in 2024, only Cambridge United (13) have performed worse on rival soil than Bristol Rovers in the current calendar year, and the Gas' pitiful attacking display against relegation-threatened Crawley will hardly inspire optimism for Saturday.
A two-week reset arguably came at the perfect time for Mansfield after a rare road setback, and Clough's men have our vote to reignite their promotion charge with a slender success here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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