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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
LC

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Lincoln

Forde (35')
Wilson (45+1'), Moore (48'), Martin (61'), Forde (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moylan (64')
Moylan (62'), Montsma (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Lincoln City

Lincoln may have been put to the sword on their last League One away day at Crawley, but the Imps have otherwise been near-unbeatable on the road in 2024 and head to the Memorial Stadium with the form book firmly on their side. In spite of Bristol Rovers' relatively pleasing home record, the Gas are too inconsistent for us to back them with any real conviction, and a Lincoln outfit who love facing the Pirates have our vote to continue their promotion charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
29.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 26.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)53.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)33.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.97% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.04%
    Lincoln City 44.64%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol RoversDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.04%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Weston
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy


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