SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
22.12% ( -4.34) | 21.96% ( -0.23) | 55.92% ( 4.57) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -4.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.59% ( -3.48) | 40.41% ( 3.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( -3.68) | 62.78% ( 3.68) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( -5.35) | 31.83% ( 5.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( -6.6) | 68.27% ( 6.6) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( 0.27) | 14.34% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.8% ( 0.53) | 42.19% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.76) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.69)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.65)3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.37)Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.12% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.68)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.69)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.4)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 1.42)0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1.45)1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.98)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.4)1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.5)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.17)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.92% |
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