SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
31.33% ( -0.28) | 23.67% ( -0.04) | 45% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.01% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.22% ( 0.06) | 40.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.83% ( 0.06) | 63.16% ( -0.06) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.14) | 25.23% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( -0.19) | 59.97% ( 0.2) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( 0.16) | 18.41% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% ( 0.27) | 49.56% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.33% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 45% |
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