At least three goals have been scored in each of Burton's and Bristol Rovers' last five league games, so another entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be on the cards this weekend.
Although the Pirates have picked up nine of their 10 points on home soil so far this season, we are backing them to secure all three on the road against an out-of-sorts Brewers outfit this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
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