SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Notts County |
60.02% ( 0.44) | 19.14% ( -0.09) | 20.84% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 66.98% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.56% ( -0.02) | 28.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.71% ( -0.02) | 49.29% ( 0.03) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.56% ( 0.1) | 9.44% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.29% ( 0.23) | 31.71% ( -0.22) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( -0.29) | 26.04% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( -0.39) | 61.08% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.14% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.14% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.84% |
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