SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
34.49% ( 0.35) | 23.29% ( -0.02) | 42.22% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.67% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.19% ( 0.21) | 37.8% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.94% ( 0.23) | 60.05% ( -0.22) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.29) | 22.01% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( 0.43) | 55.32% ( -0.43) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.05) | 18.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% ( -0.08) | 49.48% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 34.49% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.69% Total : 42.22% |
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