Notts County have won every single home match they have played so far this season, but Mansfield Town remain undefeated in all competitions.
Given that the Stags also have a very good defensive record, we do not expect Saturday's game to be a high-scoring affair, and it could end up finishing as a draw.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
0.35) 
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