SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
23.66% ( 1.4) | 25.54% ( 0.39) | 50.8% ( -1.79) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.06% ( -0.2) | 53.94% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% ( -0.17) | 75.39% ( 0.16) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.05% ( 1.23) | 37.95% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.28% ( 1.17) | 74.72% ( -1.17) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( -0.82) | 21.26% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.82% ( -1.29) | 54.17% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.66% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.42)1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 50.8% |
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