Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
0.01) 
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