SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
28.46% ( 0.21) | 28.14% ( 0.05) | 43.4% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.71% ( -0.07) | 60.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.54% ( -0.05) | 80.45% ( 0.05) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( 0.13) | 37.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% ( 0.13) | 74.09% ( -0.13) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.17) | 27.57% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( -0.22) | 63.1% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.46% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 43.4% |
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