Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
