Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Bristol City
42.02%	28.9%	29.07%

Both teams to score 43.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.43%

62.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.84%

82.15%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57%

29.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57%

65.43%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.92%

38.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.16%

74.84%

Score Analysis

Millwall 42.02%

Bristol City 29.07%

Draw 28.89%

Millwall	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 13.7% 2-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 8.09% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.48% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.64% Total : 29.07%