SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
44.21% ( -0.08) | 27.84% ( 0.04) | 27.96% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.94% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.53% ( -0.11) | 59.47% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.17% ( -0.08) | 79.83% ( 0.08) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.09) | 26.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -0.12) | 62.05% ( 0.12) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.03) | 37.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -0.02) | 74.05% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.96% |
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