With both teams having been poor since the return from the international break, this is a difficult one to call. Sunderland are always a threat in the final third, yet we feel that Millwall will take advantage of their growing uncertainty at the back to claim a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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