Still reeling from their loss to Seattle, we expect Minnesota United to go all out Tuesday as they look to avoid another disappointing Leagues Cup exit. Necaxa have struggled for consistency this season, and given their form on the road, we are backing the MLS side to come away with the desired result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 56.81%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 21.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
