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Major League Soccer
Jul 8, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
MU

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Pec (25', 90')
Nelson (20'), Puig (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pukki (73')
Sang-bin (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles
Friday, July 5 at 3.40am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-3 Vancouver
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-0 Minnesota United

Given the defensive struggles the Loons are experiencing and being down to their third-string goalkeeper, a talented group like the Galaxy should be able to find their share of openings and make them count on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 57.15%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
57.15% (-3.251 -3.25) 19.89% (1.131 1.13) 22.96% (2.125 2.13)
Both teams to score 67.31% (-1.19 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.68% (-2.777 -2.78)29.32% (2.782 2.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.64% (-3.46 -3.46)50.36% (3.466 3.47)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (-1.602 -1.6)10.4% (1.6071 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.06% (-3.762 -3.76)33.93% (3.768 3.77)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)24.88% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.49% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 57.15%
    Minnesota United 22.96%
    Draw 19.89%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.86% (0.534 0.53)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.84% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.494 -0.49)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.357 -0.36)
4-2 @ 2.74% (-0.343 -0.34)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.373 -0.37)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.269 -0.27)
4-3 @ 1.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 57.15%
1-1 @ 8.15% (0.747 0.75)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.158 0.16)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.399 0.4)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.89%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.521 0.52)
0-1 @ 3.6% (0.556 0.56)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.387 0.39)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.18 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 22.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles
Friday, July 5 at 3.40am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 NY City
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Kansas
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-3 Vancouver
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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