Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 57.15%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles Galaxy.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Minnesota United |
57.15% ( -3.25) | 19.89% ( 1.13) | 22.96% ( 2.13) |
Both teams to score 67.31% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.68% ( -2.78) | 29.32% ( 2.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.64% ( -3.46) | 50.36% ( 3.47) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.6% ( -1.6) | 10.4% ( 1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.06% ( -3.76) | 33.93% ( 3.77) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.12% ( 0.02) | 24.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.51% ( 0.02) | 59.49% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.49) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.34) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.37) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.27) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.26) Other @ 3.57% Total : 57.15% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.89% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.52) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.56) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.48% Total : 22.96% |
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