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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 22, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Leon

Club Leon
1 - 1
Necaxa

Cadiz (63' pen.)
Barreiro (31'), Reyes Chavez (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arce (35')
Fentanes (32'), Montes (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Monterrey
Thursday, July 18 at 2am in Liga MX

We said: Club Leon 2-0 Necaxa

Neither side have been particularly sharp to this point of the Apertura season, but the inconsistency of Necaxa away from home has us leaning towards Leon in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Club LeonDrawNecaxa
59.75% (0.105 0.1) 21.55% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 18.7% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)43.33% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (0.029000000000011 0.03)14.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (0.052 0.05)41.74% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)36.9% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)73.69% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 59.75%
    Necaxa 18.7%
    Draw 21.55%
Club LeonDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.55%
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 0-0 Pachuca
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 4-1 Club Leon
Sunday, July 7 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-0 Monterrey
Sunday, April 21 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Club Leon
Monday, April 15 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Monterrey
Thursday, July 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 4-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa
Monday, May 6 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-1 Queretaro (3-2 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-5 Monterrey
Monday, April 29 at 1am in Liga MX


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