Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
We said: Necaxa 2-1 Monterrey
After an excellent result on the weekend, Necaxa should be confident of ending their five-game losing run against Monterrey on Wednesday night.
Rayados need to bounce back quickly following a humbling defeat on Sunday, but we feel that Ortiz's troops will fall just short at Estadio Victoria.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monterrey in this match.
| Result |
| Necaxa | Draw | Monterrey |
26.58% ( -0.46) | 25.37% ( 0.5) | 48.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -1.94) |
| 48.96% ( -2.36) | 51.04% ( 2.37) |
| 27.1% ( -2.11) | 72.9% ( 2.12) |
| 66.16% ( -1.62) | 33.83% ( 1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.5% ( -1.79) | 70.5% ( 1.79) |
| 78.74% ( -0.98) | 21.26% ( 0.98) |
