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Liga MX
May 6, 2024 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
2 - 1
Necaxa

Bautista (79'), Rondon (83' pen.)
Pedraza (10'), Deossa (45+2'), Oliveros (83'), Idrissi (84'), Idrissi (87')
Idrissi (86'), Idrissi (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garnica (90+6')
Paradela (26'), Arce (32'), Cambindo (54'), Garnica (82'), Oliveros (84')
Fentanes (3')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro (3-2 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pachuca in this match.

Result
PachucaDrawNecaxa
62.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 20.2% (0.004999999999999 0) 17.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.73% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)62.09% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)37.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.27% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 62.64%
    Necaxa 17.16%
    Draw 20.2%
PachucaDrawNecaxa
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 62.64%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.01%
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.2%
1-2 @ 4.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.68%
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 Pumas (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 4.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 America
Wednesday, May 1 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 28 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Pachuca
Wednesday, April 24 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Pachuca
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro (3-2 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-5 Monterrey
Monday, April 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 5-2 Necaxa
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-0 Santos Laguna
Saturday, April 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Necaxa
Saturday, April 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Club Leon
Monday, April 1 at 2am in Liga MX


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