SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 56.29%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
56.29% ( 0.08) | 21.37% ( -0.04) | 22.34% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.63% ( 0.13) | 37.37% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.42% ( 0.14) | 59.59% ( -0.14) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( 0.07) | 13.21% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.04% ( 0.14) | 39.96% ( -0.13) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.04) | 29.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( 0.05) | 66.04% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 56.29% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 22.34% |
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