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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 0
Cercle Brugge

Eriksen (3'), Wolff Eikrem (18'), Linnes (30')
Breivik (55'), Lund Jensen (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Nazinho (61'), Daland (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Silkeborg 3-2 Molde
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Kortrijk
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Molde 1-1 Cercle Brugge

Both teams enter Thursday's contest having edged themselves into the third qualifying round amidst struggling on the domestic front. Taking into account the fact that both sides are not quite firing on all cylinders, a cagey first-leg draw could be on the cards which would keep the tie nicely poised ahead of next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 56.29%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawCercle Brugge
56.29% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 21.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.34% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.8% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.63% (0.131 0.13)37.37% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (0.14 0.14)59.59% (-0.136 -0.14)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (0.069000000000003 0.07)13.21% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.04% (0.137 0.14)39.96% (-0.133 -0.13)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (0.037000000000006 0.04)29.94% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.045000000000002 0.05)66.04% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Molde 56.29%
    Cercle Brugge 22.34%
    Draw 21.37%
MoldeDrawCercle Brugge
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 56.29%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.37%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 22.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Silkeborg 3-2 Molde
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Viking FK 1-0 Molde
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-1 Silkeborg
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Molde 2-3 KFUM
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Fredrikstad 0-0 Molde
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Kortrijk
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Westerlo 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brugge 0-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, May 26 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League


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