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CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 15, 2024 at 2.15am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
FC

Monterrey
2 - 1
Cincinnati

Romo (41'), Vazquez (67')
Arteaga (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Acosta (47')
Murphy (43'), Pinto (87'), Valenzuela (90+1')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Monterrey and FC Cincinnati.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawFC Cincinnati
56.07% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 22.11% (0.139 0.14) 21.83% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.44% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.53% (-0.767 -0.77)41.47% (0.767 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13% (-0.782 -0.78)63.87% (0.783 0.78)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)14.66% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.2% (-0.526 -0.53)42.8% (0.526 0.53)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (-0.526 -0.53)32.7% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (-0.594 -0.59)69.25% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 56.07%
    FC Cincinnati 21.83%
    Draw 22.1%
MonterreyDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Mazatlan
Monday, March 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Monterrey
Friday, March 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Pumas
Monday, March 4 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Monterrey
Thursday, February 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-3 Monterrey
Saturday, February 24 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Toluca
Monday, February 19 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 DC United
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Monterrey
Friday, March 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-0 Cavalier
Thursday, February 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Cincinnati
Friday, February 23 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League


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