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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
36.4% ( -0.39) | 24.37% ( 0.04) | 39.23% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 60.02% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% ( -0.23) | 42.72% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( -0.23) | 65.12% ( 0.23) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.31) | 23.25% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% ( -0.46) | 57.16% ( 0.46) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( 0.08) | 21.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% ( 0.11) | 55.01% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.23% |
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