Nantes' abysmal streak of home results and impressive endeavours on the road are most peculiar, and Les Canaris have also had the better of their hosts in recent times, but they now face a Montpellier side riding the crest of a wave.
Ruing the absence of a key attacking cog in Simon, Nantes' purple patch away from home should count for little against the in-form Paillade, who have their own difference-maker in Teji Savanier capable of causing chaos against any opponent.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
0.33) 
-0.38) 
