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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 31, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
N

Montpellier
2 - 0
Nantes

Mollet (64'), Wahi (71')
Savanier (37'), Sakho (42'), Ferri (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Appiah (35'), Traore (44'), Pallois (73'), Girotto (90'), Castelletto (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
39.84%26.91%33.25%
Both teams to score 50.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.7%54.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31%75.69%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05%61.94%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34%30.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1%66.9%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 39.84%
    Nantes 33.25%
    Draw 26.9%
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.25%

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