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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
M

Le Havre
0 - 2
Montpellier


Nego (31'), Casimir (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ferri (72'), Jullien (80')
Omeragic (70'), Sagnan (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier HSC

While the recent form table — Le Havre have three points from a possible 15 and Montpellier have seven in their last five games — indicates a positive outcome for the visitors on Sunday, a pitiful run of six losses in their previous eight road games means the hosts are backed for a marginal victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawMontpellier HSC
38.31% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 25.66% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 36.03% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (0.16999999999999 0.17)48.69% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (0.155 0.15)70.8% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.053000000000011 0.05)24.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.074999999999996 0.07)59.57% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.125 0.13)26.21% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.171 0.17)61.31% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 38.31%
    Montpellier HSC 36.03%
    Draw 25.65%
Le HavreDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 36.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Reims
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Le Havre
Saturday, February 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Metz
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Lyon
Sunday, February 11 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


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