SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
18.91% ( -0.26) | 20.43% ( 0.04) | 60.65% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.21% ( -0.63) | 37.79% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.96% ( -0.68) | 60.03% ( 0.67) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( -0.64) | 33.4% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( -0.71) | 70.02% ( 0.7) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( -0.14) | 12.09% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.37% ( -0.29) | 37.63% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 18.91% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.18)0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 60.65% |
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