SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.23% ( 0.41) | 25.22% ( 0.18) | 36.55% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( -0.87) | 46.7% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -0.82) | 68.96% ( 0.83) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( -0.18) | 24.08% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.64% ( -0.25) | 58.36% ( 0.26) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -0.72) | 24.99% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.35% ( -1.01) | 59.65% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.55% |
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