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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
29.26% ( -0.13) | 23.43% ( -0.02) | 47.32% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.63% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( 0.04) | 40.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( 0.04) | 63.12% ( -0.03) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.07) | 26.53% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.09) | 61.73% ( 0.1) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( 0.08) | 17.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.05% ( 0.13) | 47.95% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 47.32% |
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