SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
41.92% ( 0.01) | 25.19% ( -0) | 32.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( 0.01) | 47.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( 0.01) | 69.42% ( -0.01) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( 0.01) | 22.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( 0.01) | 55.97% ( -0.01) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% | 27.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( 0) | 62.85% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.89% |
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