SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Montrose |
47.24% ( -0.02) | 24.6% ( 0.01) | 28.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( -0.04) | 46.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( -0.04) | 69.01% ( 0.04) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -0.03) | 19.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% ( -0.04) | 51.97% ( 0.04) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.02) | 30.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( -0.02) | 66.55% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.24% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.16% |
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