Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.38) 
