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League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
M

Mansfield
3 - 0
Morecambe

Akins (45+1', 87' pen.), Keillor-Dunn (62')
Cargill (63'), Lewis (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McKiernan (45'), Love (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 1-1 Morecambe

This is a difficult match to call, as we believe there is not much difference between the sides in terms of quality. Four of the last five meetings between the sides across all competitions have resulted in draws, so we think the teams will share the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawMorecambe
59.42% (-0.102 -0.1) 22.41% (0.044 0.04) 18.17% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17% (-0.105 -0.11)47.83% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-0.096 -0.1)70.01% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)15.72% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (-0.128 -0.13)44.81% (0.129 0.13)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.87% (0.007000000000005 0.01)40.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.77% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 59.41%
    Morecambe 18.17%
    Draw 22.4%
Mansfield TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Mansfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-4 Rotherham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Mansfield
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Exeter 3-2 Morecambe
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One


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