Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.07) 
