SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
39.74% ( 0.12) | 27.84% ( -0.09) | 32.43% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42% ( 0.35) | 58% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( 0.27) | 78.69% ( -0.27) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( 0.24) | 28.5% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.72% ( 0.29) | 64.28% ( -0.29) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.17) | 33.11% ( -0.17) |
