Morecambe have shown they have what it takes to stay up with their performances in recent weeks, winning their last three games on the spin, and we expect them to move out of the relegation zone on the final day.
Exeter have been out of sorts lately, and the game means far more to the visitors, who are likely to come away with a victory by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
-1.92) 
0.77) 
