SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
35.31% ( 0.27) | 25.56% ( 0.02) | 39.12% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.62% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( -0.05) | 48.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( -0.05) | 70.49% ( 0.05) |
| Motor Lublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( 0.13) | 26.47% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( 0.17) | 61.65% ( -0.18) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -0.17) | 24.35% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( -0.25) | 58.75% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.31% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.12% |
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