SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
44.72% ( 0.05) | 24.44% ( -0.01) | 30.84% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( 0.04) | 44.57% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( 0.04) | 66.94% ( -0.04) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( 0.04) | 20.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% ( 0.06) | 52.27% ( -0.07) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0) | 27.4% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( -0.01) | 62.88% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 44.72% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.84% |
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