SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 77.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 6.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.07%) and 0-3 (12.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Dinamo Minsk |
6.8% ( -0.07) | 15.21% ( -0.1) | 77.98% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 37.74% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.11% ( 0.18) | 44.88% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( 0.17) | 67.24% ( -0.17) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.72% ( -0.08) | 58.27% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.26% ( -0.04) | 89.74% ( 0.04) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.44% ( 0.09) | 9.56% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68% ( 0.2) | 32% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Dinamo Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 6.8% | 1-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.21% | 0-2 @ 15.35% 0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 12.01% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 7.05% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 77.97% |
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