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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Sep 21, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadyen Central'ny

Gomel
2 - 1
Naftan

Antonio Evangelista da Silva Neto (54'), Junior Effaghe (89')
Abdullahi (30'), Rylach (64'), Grishchenko (66')
Grishchenko (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suchkov (11')
Kingu (30'), Drabatovich (76')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Minsk 3-1 Gomel
Monday, September 16 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Naftan 3-6 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
GomelDrawNaftan
61.8% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33) 21.73% (0.11 0.11) 16.47% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 49.24% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)47.72% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)69.91% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (-0.128 -0.13)14.91% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.72% (-0.245 -0.25)43.28% (0.249 0.25)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.87% (0.248 0.25)42.14% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.45% (0.211 0.21)78.55% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gomel 61.79%
    Naftan 16.47%
    Draw 21.72%
GomelDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 61.79%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.053 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 16.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Minsk 3-1 Gomel
Monday, September 16 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Gomel
Thursday, September 12 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 2-1 Smorgon
Friday, August 30 at 6.45pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 2-0 BATE
Sunday, August 18 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Neman 1-1 Gomel
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 1-2 Slutsk
Saturday, August 3 at 2.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Naftan 3-6 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Naftan 0-2 FC Minsk
Saturday, August 31 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Smorgon 1-0 Naftan
Saturday, August 24 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: BATE 1-1 Naftan
Saturday, August 10 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Naftan 1-4 Slutsk
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0-3 Naftan
Sunday, June 30 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League


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