Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 6.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.11%) and 0-3 (12.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Naftan | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
6.17% ( 0.15) | 15.14% ( 0.18) | 78.69% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 34.64% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.94% ( -0.19) | 47.06% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.7% ( -0.18) | 69.3% ( 0.18) |
Naftan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.45% ( 0.33) | 61.55% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.58% ( 0.16) | 91.42% ( -0.16) |
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.07% ( -0.13) | 9.93% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.14% ( -0.3) | 32.86% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Naftan | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
1-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.54% Total : 6.17% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.14% | 0-2 @ 16.3% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 14.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 12.55% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 7.25% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 78.69% |
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