SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | FC Minsk |
26.27% ( 0.9) | 26.02% ( 0.28) | 47.71% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( -0.44) | 53.79% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.37) | 75.26% ( 0.37) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( 0.53) | 35.57% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.66% ( 0.55) | 72.34% ( -0.54) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.71) | 22.55% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( -1.07) | 56.14% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | FC Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.09)Other @ 2% Total : 26.27% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.7% |
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