SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Minsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Naftan |
54.91% ( 0.09) | 23.81% ( -0.04) | 21.28% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.08) | 49.53% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( 0.07) | 71.56% ( -0.07) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( 0.06) | 17.91% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.28% ( 0.11) | 48.71% ( -0.11) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.23% ( -0.01) | 37.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.45% ( -0.01) | 74.54% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.28% |
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