SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Neman in this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
59.93% ( -0.13) | 22.99% ( 0.02) | 17.08% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( 0.07) | 51.82% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% ( 0.06) | 73.58% ( -0.06) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( -0.02) | 16.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( -0.04) | 47.02% ( 0.04) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.2% ( 0.18) | 43.8% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.04% ( 0.14) | 79.96% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 59.92% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 17.08% |
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