SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand Women | Draw | France Women |
26.04% ( -3.62) | 25.12% ( -0.39) | 48.83% ( 4.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( -0.58) | 50.39% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( -0.52) | 72.32% ( 0.52) |
| New Zealand Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( -3.08) | 33.92% ( 3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.4% ( -3.48) | 70.6% ( 3.48) |
| France Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( 1.54) | 20.65% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( 2.37) | 53.23% ( -2.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| New Zealand Women | Draw | France Women |
| 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.67)2-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.64)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.47)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.38)Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.04% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.96)1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.34)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.83% |
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