Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Women win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Colombia Women had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Colombia Women win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.72) 
0.11) 
