Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.77) 
-0.04) 
